MLOps/Systems • Score 85
FleetSieve: Decision-Critical Profiling for SLO-Aware LLM Fleet Configuration
arXiv:2608.19659v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Choosing tensor-parallel (TP) degrees and replica counts for an LLM serving fleet is difficult because performance is not monotonic in TP and the feasible choice can change with load. Exhaustive profiling resolves this uncertainty, but measures many configurations that do not affect the final resource allocation. We present FleetSieve, which selects measurements according to their expected effect on a resource-coupled, SLO-aware fleet decision. FleetSieve models capacity and tail latency jointly, compares conservative and optimistic allocations, and stops when their remaining decision gap is below a specified tolerance. On a fixed H100 measurement grid for a 31B-parameter open-weight model, FleetSieve reaches the oracle aggregate decision using 22,200 GPU-seconds, 6.9% less than uniform random profiling in the fixed comparison. Across 200 random reveal orders, its mean saving over random profiling is 5.4% (95% bootstrap CI: 3.5-7.2%). The fixed-comparison saving is 21.5% for Chat, while FleetSieve does not use the fewest GPU-seconds for Code. Joint capacity and tail modeling also avoids selecting a configuration whose 46.4-second completion p99 violates a 30-second SLO. In a 16-GPU allocation, an incorrect sparse-profile decision loses up to 1.93 requests/s and 12.4 percentage points of max-min fulfillment. Boundary repeats and BurstGPT measurements support the observed load-dependent tail-latency mechanism.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
Transfer Learning in Nonparametric Regression with Deep ReLU Networks
arXiv:2608.20255v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: This paper develops a general transfer learning framework for nonparametric regression with data consisting of multiple groups. Under the assumption that groups share a common structure along with group-specific deviations in additive form, the proposed method employs a two-stage offset learning procedure: the first stage pools data from all groups to estimate an overall mean function, and the second stage estimates offsets for each group, yielding final group-level estimators through additive combination. Upper bounds on the $\mathcal L_2$ error are established for the proposed framework, covering a broad class of nonparametric estimators under mild complexity and noise conditions. When instantiated with deep ReLU networks, explicit convergence rates are derived under hierarchical composition models, demonstrating the ability to overcome the curse of dimensionality. Conditions that enable positive transfer with faster rates are considered, including learning with simpler functions and data augmentation through pooling samples across groups. Various simulations and real-data experiments further validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
Fonte: arXiv stat.ML
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
Empirical Characterization of Learning Geometry in Hybrid Quantum Forecasting Models
arXiv:2608.19497v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We characterize the learning dynamics of a compact hybrid quantum forecasting model through comparison with a structurally aligned classical baseline. Using stationary harmonic-mixture and nonstationary chirp benchmarks with controlled spectral complexity and data availability, we analyze empirical Neural Tangent Kernel dynamics through kernel-target alignment, kernel drift, spectral concentration, and training loss. The classical model exhibits stronger early target alignment, whereas the hybrid model generally develops a less concentrated kernel spectrum and smaller kernel drift. Despite these distinct optimization geometries, both architectures attain similar held-out performance across the evaluated regimes. Notably, the hybrid model uses 125 trainable parameters compared with 281 for the classical baseline and reaches its validation-selected checkpoint earlier in 15 of 18 frequency conditions. A Fourier-augmented classical baseline does not reproduce the observed training behavior, while a controlled re-uploading ablation shows that repeated encoding systematically modifies both optimization and kernel geometry. These results demonstrate that comparable generalization can emerge from substantially different learning trajectories and that individual NTK diagnostics do not provide monotonic predictors of validation convergence. Rather than claiming a general quantum advantage, the study identifies architecture-dependent learning behavior that is masked by endpoint accuracy alone.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
What You Can't See Is What You Learn: Restricted Evidence Visibility Favors Compositional Generalization in Shared-Genome Language-Model Societies
arXiv:2608.20054v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Multi-module systems often expose every module to the full input. We test whether restricting evidence visibility changes which solutions gradient-based training discovers. Four-cell societies share one frozen pretrained language model and one low-rank adapter, communicating only through two model-width continuous vectors in a fixed relay. On a prospectively sealed natural-language function-composition task, we train ten matched restricted/global pairs sharing initialization bytes, training order, token layout, parameters, and computation; only the attention mask differs. Restricted societies outperform their globally visible twins by at least 20 points at both depths in 9 of 10 pairs, with median paired advantages of 0.7648 and 0.6050. Cutting communication reduces every restricted society to chance, and the depth-three advantage remains 0.558 on programs whose composite function never appeared in training. Across six audited restricted societies, same-value packet transplants preserve behavior at 0.94-1.00 across all tested interfaces; destructive interventions collapse performance; and counterfactual packets redirect outputs toward the mathematically predicted answer. The sole high-performing global model also requires communication, but its same-value packets are not interchangeable across episodes. Restricted visibility is thus not necessary for composition; under this protocol it substantially increases the probability of a generalizing relay and favors a reusable, value-indexed interface. The complete preregistered battery nevertheless formally fails because restricted-arm median depth-three accuracy is 0.6988, below the 0.70 floor. An earlier qualification cohort likewise yielded 0/10 complete passes: one model met every task-performance gate, but all ten failed ordinary-language preservation, confining the system to explicitly task-gated use.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Optimal Skill Selection for LLM Agents with Provable Bicriteria Guarantees
arXiv:2608.19993v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Loading reusable skill documents into a bounded context window is now the primary way large language model (LLM) agents acquire task-specific capabilities, which makes skill selection a first-order determinant of task performance and token cost. Yet current agents score skills independently by semantic relevance and assemble the set by top-$k$ or greedy packing, with no quality guarantee or cost awareness on the selected set. As a result, redundant or poorly chosen skills waste scarce context tokens and can even degrade performance. We give the first model of how the selected skill set shapes execution outcomes and cast skill selection as an optimization problem: choose a skill set under a hard token budget to maximize a monotone submodular benefit minus context penalty. For this problem, we develop Best Prefix Selection (BPS), a polynomial-time algorithm, and prove, to our knowledge, the first performance guarantee for skill selection: a bicriteria $(1-1/e,1)$ approximation whose benefit coefficient is optimal in polynomial time. On a contamination-controlled BigCodeBench variant, BPS outperforms all the baselines, reaching $0.73$ measured task success versus $0.20$--$0.52$ for released skill routers, text retrievers, and the executor's own selection, on $28\%$ fewer tokens than the strongest released router.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Remember, Verify, or Ask? Cross-Family Evaluation of Memory Commitment in LLM Agents
arXiv:2608.19564v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Persistent memory can personalize an LLM agent, but an incorrect durable update can silently distort future behavior. We study the memory-clarification boundary: whether interaction-derived information should be persisted, used only in the current context, re-verified, or clarified with the user. MCB contains 140 primary scenarios, split into 70 development and 70 held-out items, plus a separate 70-item contrast set. It evaluates both action labels and structured tool-call selection. Two non-authors independently label the 70 held-out primary and 70 contrast items (97.1% agreement, Cohen's kappa = 0.962); a blind third resolves four disagreements, replacing eight author labels by non-author majority. Across Claude and Qwen, models verify changing facts more reliably than they ask users to resolve ambiguity. Bare Qwen asks on 0/12 clarification items while verifying 12/18 freshness items. Few-shot prompting raises accuracy from 0.557 to 0.771 (paired delta = +0.214, Holm-adjusted exact McNemar p_H = 0.002), yet clarification recall remains 0.333. The policy prompt reduces erroneous persistence from 0.243 to 0.100 (p_H = 0.038), although its accuracy gain is not significant. Label-tool agreement is 57% for each Claude model and 23% for Qwen; Qwen accuracy falls from 0.557 to 0.343 (p_H = 0.047). Memory evaluation must test both stated decisions and tool-call choices.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CL
Vision • Score 85
Structured Affinity for Unsupervised Visual Class-Incremental Memory in Deep Artificial Immune Networks
arXiv:2608.20104v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Artificial immune networks (AINs) are naturally memory-forming systems, but conventional visual AINs often rely on flattened vector affinity that ignores spatial structure. This paper studies whether structured, gradient-free immune affinity can make Deep AINs viable as replay-free visual class-incremental representation-memory learners. Visual B-cells are formalized as structured templates, including shifted-template affinity, zero-normalized cross-correlation (ZNCC) filters, and feature-map binding profiles. A repertoire is treated both as memory and as a representation-inducing basis, while depth is obtained by passing binding-profile response maps to subsequent immune layers. The resulting Deep AIN exhibits adaptive latent coordinate reorganization: as new classes arrive, the binding-profile space evolves while retaining recoverable structure for earlier classes. Experiments on sklearn digits, MNIST, Fashion-MNIST, and KMNIST show that preserving response maps is critical. Scalar binding-profile variants underperform, whereas feature-map Deep AINs learn class-discriminative visual memory without replay, label-driven immune updates, or backpropagation through the immune layers. On sklearn digits, downstream probes fitted on the learned binding profiles reach 0.939 final balanced accuracy with logistic regression and 0.902 with 1-nearest-neighbour after all ten classes are encountered, with initial-class retention of 0.978. Adaptive layer-wise scale calibration further improves the two-layer feature-map Deep AIN to 0.978 balanced accuracy. With the same calibration rule, Fashion-MNIST reaches 0.814 and KMNIST reaches 0.853. These probes are external validation tools, not components of the AIN. The results identify structured affinity, response-map preservation, adaptive latent reorganization, and layer-wise scale calibration as key mechanisms for replay-free visual immune memory.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CV
Vision • Score 85
Where Grounding Accuracy Lives on the IoU Curve: Label-Free Inference-Time Boundary Refinement
arXiv:2608.19553v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Vision--language models can identify the correct referent while returning an imprecise bounding box. We study whether a frozen direct-answer model can use its own prediction to allocate one additional localized observation without accessing target annotations at inference. Label-free precision refinement (LFPR) routes predicted-small regions to a higher-resolution pass, re-grounds the expression inside a context crop, admits a candidate only under fixed geometric guards, and returns a fixed coordinate-wise midpoint. We report results across three evidence tiers. On 31,921 retrospective Ref-L4 expressions, LFPR raises mAcc$_{0.5:0.95}$ from 72.947\% to 76.013\% (Acc@0.5 88.531\%$\to$89.725\%, Acc@0.9 55.788\%$\to$61.142\%). A frozen transfer to 30,969 RefCOCO/RefCOCO+/RefCOCOg expressions improves every dataset at Acc@0.5, mAcc, and mean IoU (pooled mAcc $+0.645$, Acc@0.5 $+0.817$), while Acc@0.9 is unchanged overall: routing alone gains $+1.162$ points there, but crop, guards, and fusion give back $-1.192$, offsetting rather than showing no strict-IoU effect. A prospective, image-disjoint Flickr30K Entities evaluation improves every endpoint (mAcc $+0.973$, Acc@0.9 $+1.022$), more strongly under a single-box variant (mAcc $+2.575$, Acc@0.9 $+3.689$). The same operator applied to two released grounding specialists improves every endpoint (Acc@0.9 $+1.569$/$+6.716$ for EGM-4B/8B) at roughly twice the latency, composing with specialist training rather than replacing it. A genuine unguarded control (guard removed from the same candidates) underperforms the incumbent on every metric, showing the guard is load-bearing. Together, these results show that referent selection and boundary precision are partially separable, with different components moving opposing regions of the IoU curve -- behavior a single threshold cannot reveal.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CV
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
A Strong Linear Baseline for Whole-Heart Cardiac Shape Completion on CT, with an Open Eleven-Structure Statistical Shape Model
arXiv:2608.19932v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Public cardiac cohorts annotate different subsets of the heart, so shapes from separate sources cannot be pooled without shared correspondence. Among released cardiac shape resources, none we identified carries the atrial appendage, pulmonary veins, and caval stumps as separate blocks in one mesh. Completion benchmarks also compare deep models against a least-squares projection onto shape modes, not the conditional estimator the same fitted model implies. We release an eleven- structure cardiac computed-tomography (CT) statistical shape model, built from 383 automatically labelled cases in 11 571-vertex correspondence, and compare completion estimators under one frozen internal split and endpoint. On a 76-case internal list held out from fitting, a closed-form conditional-Gaussian estimator reconstructed the missing non-chamber structures at 3.717 mm mean per-vertex error, averaged equally over one, three, five, and nine observed structures. A five-refit mask-conditioned graph variational autoencoder reached 5.248 mm and nearest-neighbour retrieval 8.931 mm. The paired difference was 1.531 mm (95% confidence interval 1.384 to 1.711), and the ordering held in a raw-coordinate sensitivity arm. Expert manual labels exist for 58 external CT cases, but our registered reference is close enough to score only five structures. There the closed-form estimator again had lower average surface distance, 95th-percentile Hausdorff distance, and Chamfer error for both completed atria. On a second public benchmark of 20 cases the reference was close enough for three of four completed structures, and the same ordering held there. Four structures have no expert reference. The released model and its completion operator support cohort-unification research on aligned CT, not clinical use.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
How to Navigate Uncertainty About AI Consciousness
arXiv:2608.19215v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Given deep uncertainty about the possibility of artificial consciousness, it is unclear how we should treat potentially sentient AI. On the one hand, we could assume insentience but risk doing terrible harms to entities that deserve moral standing. On the other hand, we could assume sentience and instead risk wasting resources on insentient machines. The intractability of questions around AI consciousness mean that this dilemma is hard to escape. I suggest a way out of that shifts from intractable questions of AI consciousness to tractable questions of AI valence. Specifically, we can assess whether an AI has states that would constitute valenced experiences if it were conscious. I show how this is sufficient to ground a responsible approach to the development of potentially conscious AI.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
MLOps/Systems • Score 85
Specification-delta-driven data governance: an empirical study of the {\guillemotleft}spec-delta{\guillemotright} as the unit of change in lakehouse data platforms
arXiv:2608.19838v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Spec Driven Development SDD has consolidated the idea that the specification rather than the code should be the primary artefact governing AI assisted work. Tools such as GitHub Spec Kit, and proposals such as Constitutional SDD, have formalised this principle in the software domain, while the executable data-contracts literature has extended it to schema and quality enforcement at run time. Nevertheless, the treatment of the specification delta OpenSpec's core idea that every change should produce a reviewable increment of requirements as the unit of change in data platforms remains empirically unexplored, even though many data-platform changes are contractual (new datasets, service-level agreements, metric semantics, access policies) rather than purely code changes. This work formalises the spec-delta concept, proposes a taxonomy of data platform changes according to their suitability for incremental specification, and defines a controlled experiment comparing a spec-delta-driven workflow against a conventional code pull-request workflow without a delta. The response variables are discovery to deployment time, the density of defects reaching the Silver and Gold lakehouse layers, cross-tool metric divergence, and reviewer cognitive load measured with NASA TLX. The paper explicitly reserves a demonstration-and-laboratory section for instantiation on a real lakehouse environment. The contribution is not a tool but reproducible evidence and an applicability guide that helps to avoid the up front over specification antipattern.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Towards general embodied intelligence: integrating large language models, knowledge bases, and reasoning capabilities to build the next generation of AI agents
arXiv:2608.19794v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: The convergence of large language models (LLMs), structured knowledge bases (KBs), and reasoning ability (RA) presents a promising trajectory toward general embodied intelligence (GEI). This paper reviews the evolution of LLM-centered intelligent systems, emphasising their integration with knowledge representation, logical reasoning, and physical embodiment. We analyse LLM architectures, pre-training methods, and inference mechanisms, along with their interaction with external knowledge sources and structured reasoning frameworks. Furthermore, we examine embodied intelligence (EI) paradigms wherein agents learn and act in physical environments. To synthesise these dimensions, we present a conceptual framework that illustrates the synergy among LLMs, KBs, RA, and embodiment, serving as a guiding model for perception, reasoning, and action rather than an implemented engineering architecture. To advance toward GEI, we identify five key challenges: efficient LLM deployment, closed-loop knowledge integration, hybrid symbolic-neural reasoning, perception-action grounding, and continual learning. This survey provides a comprehensive roadmap for developing adaptive, multimodal agents capable of operating in complex, dynamic settings.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Frequency-Aware Continual Learning for Smart Contract Vulnerability Detection with Large Language Models
arXiv:2608.19680v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Smart contract vulnerability detection with Large Language Models (LLMs) faces three causally linked challenges. First, new vulnerability categories demand parameter-efficient adaptation, since full retraining is prohibitive for sequentially arriving tasks. Second, training per-task adapters on a shared backbone causes catastrophic forgetting of previously learned vulnerabilities. Third, the resulting multiplicity of adapters must be consolidated into a single model, since task identity is unknown at inference time. Each challenge arises directly from the solution to its predecessor, making an integrated framework essential. We propose a three-stage pipeline in which each stage addresses one challenge and feeds into the next. The adaptation stage uses Frequency-Aware Low-Rank Adaptation (FA-LoRA), which performs adaptation in the Fourier domain with per-frequency importance gates, requiring only 0.4% trainable parameters while outperforming standard LoRA and QLoRA. The continual learning stage applies Forget-Aware Replay (FAR), which uses these frequency gates to estimate per-sample forgetting risk via loss dynamics and prioritizes vulnerable knowledge for rehearsal, achieving an average Micro-F1 of 0.8022 across sequential tasks. The deployment stage employs Anchor-Protected Progressive Merging (APPM), which exploits the asymmetric generalization produced by FAR training to identify the strongest-generalizing adapter as an anchor and consolidates all adapters into a single model via anchor-protected weighted merging with frequency-domain gate competition. APPM achieves a Micro-F1 of 0.8085, within 2.7% of the independent per-task upper bound, at a merge cost of 156 ms and no additional runtime memory. Experiments on DIVE confirm the framework effectively addresses all three challenges for evolving blockchain ecosystems.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
Vision • Score 85
Open-Vocabulary 3D Object Detection with Co-Distillation Discovery and Dual Guidance Robust Training
arXiv:2608.19973v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Recently, open-vocabulary 3D object detection (3D-OVD) has gained increasing attention for its ability to detect unseen objects in 3D scenes. Existing approaches typically adopt a two-stage pipeline that first discovers novel objects using foundation models and then trains a 3D-OVD model based on these discovered objects. Although effective, this pipeline often suffers from inaccurate localization and mismatched classification during the discovery stage, which subsequently limits the performance of the model training stage. To address these limitations, we advocate for improving both the reliability of novel object discovery and the robustness of model training, and propose an innovative framework. Specifically, for reliable discovery, our co-distillation strategy distills high-quality novel objects by applying Hungarian matching over a comprehensive score that incorporates geometric consistency, structural objectness, and semantic certainty. To enhance robust model training, we further propose a dual-guidance learning scheme, incorporating a scene-awareness-guided uncertainty regularization for the regression head and an LLM-guided hierarchical alignment for the classification head, effectively mitigating the negative effects of imprecise 3D bounding boxes and semantic ambiguity. Extensive experiments on SUN RGB-D and ScanNetV2 demonstrate that our method achieves significant performance gains over state-of-the-art approaches. Code is available at https://github.com/shangboyuan/Co-3DGT
Fonte: arXiv cs.CV
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Interrupting the Loop: Periodic Subject Changes Raise Judged Surprise and Connection in Base Language Models
arXiv:2608.19893v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Where does the novelty a base language model produces with no task come from, and what can an LLM judge of a long stream actually see? We dismantle a cognitively inspired generation loop over 24 conditions on three base models. Most of its effect lives in one operation: a new subject injected every few hundred tokens (an interruption) into a stream whose literal repetition is damped (habituation). We judge windows of generated text only, with the premise as the unit (n=10) and a judge measured for repeatability, against a second judge family and against human readers. Under that protocol the interruption raises judged surprise by 1.2 to 1.4 points and connection by 0.8 over habituation alone. A connective that asks for continuity hurts; a bare paragraph break adds nothing detectable on fresh text; a reset context does at least as well as a kept one; and a pre-registered replication on new premises confirms the primary contrast. Three things the window judge could not see changed the first version of this study, and we think they are of general use. The judge scores the experimenter's injected sentence as the model's own. A fixed rotation of injected sentences makes the model replay its earlier segments from beyond the judge's horizon, and the judge scores the replay as surprise and connection (65-80% of post-interruption windows at periods 150-300). And the local gains do not compose: no arm produces an integrated document. The salience monitor, the in-loop judge, memory across interruptions and a judge-gated Review run with a gate that opens add nothing. On a problem with a verifier (online bin packing), the interruption multiplies valid, distinct candidate heuristics three- to fourfold without raising the quality of the best. We report an evaluation protocol for long generation and a controlled characterization of a simple intervention, not a mechanism of creativity.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CL
Vision • Score 85
Unified and Efficient Point-Line Local Features
arXiv:2608.19894v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Multi-view computer vision pipelines typically rely on accurate sparse keypoints and robust descriptors. While incorporating line features has shown clear benefits for matching and pose estimation, existing point-line approaches remain inefficient: they detect points and lines separately, use increasingly heavy networks, and depend on CPU-bound heuristics that hinder real-time performance. We introduce a Unified Efficient Points and Lines (UPAL) feature extractor that jointly extracts keypoints, line segments, and feature descriptors within a single lightweight architecture. A shared backbone provides common representations that feed different branches for point and line features. Line segments are recovered through an accelerated post-processing stage, an enhanced and highly efficient variant of the LSD algorithm. UPAL matches or exceeds state-ofthe-art performance in both point and line applications while significantly reducing computational cost, achieving, for instance, a 4x speedup and 10x smaller memory footprint over the ALIKED + DeepLSD pipeline. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/francois141/upal.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CV
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Far from the Crowd: Scalable Self-Supervised Learning via Geographic Isolation
arXiv:2608.19766v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Self-supervised pretraining on remote sensing imagery typically treats all samples as equally informative, despite large variability in geographic and visual structure. We propose a curriculum learning strategy for self-supervised Earth observation that ranks samples by geographic isolation, a label-free proxy derived entirely from geolocation metadata already present in geospatial datasets, requiring no image decoding, no model feedback, and no manual annotation. Unlike visual complexity proxies, it scales as O(D log D) with dataset size D and is well-defined for both contrastive and reconstructive objectives. We integrate the proposed measure into MoCoV2 and MAE pretraining and evaluate across three downstream tasks from CopernicusBench (BigEarthNet, DFC-2020, LCZ). Our curriculum reaches baseline final-epoch performance using as few as 20% of the training budget (MAE) and at most 40% (MoCo) of the training budget, and improves final downstream performance by up to +5 mAP on BigEarthNet, with gains of 1-5 points across benchmarks, matching visual-complexity curricula while reducing pre-computation cost by more than 140x (4 s vs. 568 s on SSL4EO). A CKA and effective-rank analysis further reveals that curriculum-trained encoders develop higher-dimensional, more uniformly utilized embedding spaces throughout training.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CV
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
LoRA-GA$^2$: Low Rank Adaptation with Multi-step Gradient Adaptive Alignment
arXiv:2608.19800v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) is a prominent fine-tuning method for large models, achieving competitive performance with reduced memory overhead. However, a persistent performance gap remains between LoRA and full fine-tuning. Recent studies have sought to narrow this gap by employing one-step gradient approximations of pretrained weights to align LoRA updates with the principal directions or intrinsic dimensionalities of full fine-tuning updates. Nevertheless, these approaches fail to capture the full dynamics of the gradients. In this paper, we propose LoRA-GA$^2$, an effective fine-tuning algorithm that fully leverages multi-step gradient information. Specifically, we introduce a lightweight probe for multi-step gradients of pretrained weights that incurs no additional GPU memory cost and only marginal time overhead. We further employ a spectrum-aware, importance-based rank allocation and optimal initialization derived from multi-step gradients. Extensive experimental results demonstrate that LoRA-GA$^2$ consistently outperforms existing LoRA variants while preserving the efficiency advantages of vanilla LoRA. For instance, LoRA-GA$^2$ surpasses the leading baseline by an average of 0.66 points on the GLUE benchmark, and outperforms the strongest baseline by 1.03 points on GSM8K and 0.87 points on HumanEval, respectively.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CL
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Hallucination as a Feature, not a Defect: Evaluating a multi-agent architecture to transform speculative language-model outputs into testable scientific hypotheses
arXiv:2608.19206v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Contemporary Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly aligned to suppress hallucinations, prioritizing factual retrieval over combinatorial creativity. While crucial for mitigating misinformation, this alignment may also restrict speculative Research and Development (R&D) by encouraging what this work operationally treats as semantic overfitting and diversity collapse. In this paper, we propose a Rust-based multi-agent orchestration that uses the contrast between narrative daydreaming and executive control as a functional analogy, not as a neurocognitive claim. The system instigates an Epistemological Friction loop between a high-entropy generating agent and a web-grounded evaluating agent, mediated by a low-entropy semantic bottleneck intended to reduce noise and repetition. Initial experiments generated diverse, viability-rated hypotheses across physical and social-science domains. We additionally report an exploratory paired baseline and ablation study comparing the full system against direct prompting, self-reflection, removal of the semantic filter, removal of search grounding, and removal of lateral lenses. The results place direct prompting among the weakest conditions across most observed metrics, but they do not show a general superiority of the full system over simple self-reflection. Instead, they suggest that each architecture shifts the balance between originality, feasibility, diversity, and empirical grounding in different ways, and that the full system provides its main advantages when hypotheses must survive strong physical, empirical, or institutional constraints. These findings do not show that hallucination is useful in isolation; they suggest that speculative generation gains value only when constrained by architecture, empirical grounding, and explicit evaluation.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CL
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
SWE-bench Science: Can Coding Agents Resolve Engineering Tasks in Science?
arXiv:2608.19799v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Software increasingly functions as part of the scientific instrument itself, making failures in scientific code capable of compromising not only program behavior but also the evidence underlying scientific conclusions. Yet existing evaluations of coding agents largely emphasize aggregate task success, providing limited insight into why agents fail when repairing scientific software. We introduce \textbf{SWE-bench Science}, a repository-level benchmark for scientific software engineering comprising 119 tasks from 98 GitHub repositories across 20 scientific domains. Each task is organized into one of three paradigms: Issue-driven, Expert-exploratory, and Engineering-integration. Even the best-performing agent, \textbf{Claude Code with Opus-5 (max), achieves a pass@1 below 50\%}, highlighting the substantial challenges posed by scientific software engineering. We identify four recurring failure mechanisms: deficits in scientific knowledge or abstraction, misguided exploration or surface-level repair, incomplete repair coverage or system integration, and failures to generalize scientific knowledge beyond observed cases in our analysis. We further conduct a paired ablation that removes explicit scientific guidance while preserving the repository and executable engineering context. The results show that scientific knowledge is not uniformly beneficial: well-grounded information can constrain repair and improve average performance and token efficiency, whereas poorly aligned guidance can induce anchoring and does not necessarily improve exact repair success. Together, SWE-bench Science provides a broad testbed for studying both the capabilities and failure mechanisms of coding agents in scientific software engineering.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CL
Privacy/Security/Fairness • Score 85
Bounded Sovereignty and the Control Tax: Pricing AI Oversight When the Deployer Does Not Own the Model
arXiv:2608.19216v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: AI control research asks how to deploy models safely even when they may be misaligned, but many control protocols assume that the deployer can instrument the model and its surrounding pipeline. That assumption often fails for regulated organisations using frontier models through APIs or managed endpoints, where the deployer may control the business process but not the model weights, serving infrastructure, internal traces, update process, or full interaction logs. This paper introduces bounded sovereignty: partial technical and contractual access across the data, model, infrastructure, and interaction layers of the AI stack. It argues that these access conditions determine which control protocols can be executed in practice. The paper contributes a four-layer access typology, a protocol-by-layer requirements matrix, and the concept of sovereignty discount cost: the part of the control tax spent substituting for missing access through contracts, architecture, audit, vendor assurance, residual risk, or reduced system scope. It also reports a synthetic access-ablation experiment over 1.35 million synthetic case simulations and interprets the findings through an anonymised national-payments-infrastructure scenario. The experiment is not real-world payment-system evidence; it is a construct-validity exercise. The results show that complete logs improve diagnosis, a pre-execution gateway enables intervention, trace access and model-version control strengthen post-incident explanation, and scope restriction can improve safety while reducing usefulness. Control protocols proposed as general safety solutions should therefore state their access assumptions explicitly.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Does Marginal Coverage Guarantee Class-Conditional Safety for Zero-Shot VLMs Under Shift?
arXiv:2608.19376v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Split-conformal prediction provides marginal coverage under exchangeability and is increasingly used as an abstention layer for zero-shot vision-language models (VLMs). We audit this practice under deployment shift for CLIP, OpenCLIP, and SigLIP across ImageNet and non-ImageNet settings. Marginal coverage can remain relatively high while class-conditional tail coverage collapses: on ImageNet-Sketch, worst-class coverage falls to $\approx 0$ and 10-12% of classes lie below a finite-sample null floor, despite marginal coverage of about 0.86. The failure is aligned with target-domain class accuracy but is not predicted by the source-domain diagnostics we test. Source-side Mondrian calibration improves the in-distribution tail but does not transfer, while clustered conformal and Conf-OT improve marginal or average metrics without recovering the worst-class tail. Target-side class calibration substantially lifts the tail, but requires labels for every class and remains set-size-intensive. We further identify a 2-3$\times$ cross-family efficiency gap and show that native SigLIP sigmoid scores remove APS's probability-mass interpretation. The findings persist across the tested model scale, pretraining corpus, prompt, miscoverage level $\alpha$, and shifted non-ImageNet settings. Marginal conformal coverage should therefore be treated as an average reliability statistic, not as a safety guarantee for the class tail.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CV
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Represented but Ignored: A Causal Account of Prosodic Underuse in Audio-Language Models
arXiv:2608.19211v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Human speech is richly expressive, with prosody carrying linguistic and emotional information beyond the lexical content. A capable large audio-language model (audio-LLM) should therefore support expressive speech understanding, not only transcribing what was said but also interpreting how it was said. Yet behavioral evaluations alone cannot reveal why a model fails on prosodic input. An error may reflect loss of acoustic information, incorrect internal interpretation, or failure to use a representation that is already available inside the model. We introduce a stage-specific probe ladder for localizing these failure modes in audio-LLMs. Across four understanding-only audio-LLMs, prosodic information is usually preserved in the audio path and decodable in late LLM states. Yet it is only partially expressed in the model's final response. We test the causal status of this latent representation with targeted hidden-state interventions. Every intervention shifts the answer distribution in the predicted direction, and in most model--task cells a single edit at the relevant layer is sufficient to drive the model toward the suppressed prosodic decision, though this recovery is directional rather than a selective restoration of the correct class. Feature-level analysis further suggests that this recoverable signal can be expressed through a small subspace. Some of the highest-attribution features in this analysis align with acoustic cues known to carry prosodic information. Within the matched-content contrasts we test, these results locate the recurring bottleneck not in perceiving prosody but in using it. Models that hear and correctly represent a prosodic cue can still fail to express it in their answers.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CL
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Longitudinal Bayesian Learning of Continuous Disease Position across the Alzheimer's Disease Continuum
arXiv:2608.19436v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Alzheimer's disease (AD) progresses as a continuous biological process, whereas most existing neuroimaging-based artificial intelligence methods remain limited to discrete diagnosis or clinical score prediction from cross-sectional imaging. In this work, we propose Disease Continuum Positioning (DCP), a longitudinal Bayesian Learning framework that continuously estimates disease severity from longitudinal diffusion tensor imaging (DTI). Specifically, DCP models disease severity as a low-dimensional probabilistic latent variable by jointly integrating longitudinal observations with weak clinical supervision, from which the proposed Disease Continuum Score (DCS) is derived to quantify an individual's position along the Alzheimer's disease continuum together with its associated uncertainty. Extensive experiments on the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) cohort demonstrate that DCP consistently outperforms representative disease progression methods. More importantly, comprehensive validation analyses show that DCS accurately characterizes disease severity, exhibits strong clinical relevance, preserves longitudinal disease evolution, and predicts future disease conversion. These results suggest that DCS provides a quantitative imaging-derived representation for continuous assessment of Alzheimer's disease progression beyond conventional diagnostic labels and clinical scores.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Quantifying Event Impacts on Time Series via Multiscale Contrastive Learning
arXiv:2608.19447v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Shocks that spread through the web, such as cybersecurity breach disclosures, can abruptly disrupt financial time series and cause substantial abnormal losses. While these events are disclosed as discrete records through news reports, regulatory filings, or public databases, their consequences unfold through continuous market dynamics. This creates an event-conditioned impact prediction problem: given pre-event market history and limited event metadata, the goal is to estimate short-term post-disclosure abnormal loss rather than reconstruct the full post-event trajectory. However, most time-series forecasting models focus on endogenous regularities such as trend, seasonality, and autocorrelation, and thus struggle with rare and heterogeneous external events. The challenge is further amplified by sparse high-impact events and background market noise. We introduce EventTime, a multi-resolution framework that combines long-horizon market context, short-horizon pre-event dynamics, and event metadata. It incorporates an event fusion module that couples temporal representations with event attributes to identify relevant recent market patterns. To mitigate sparse supervision, EventTime further introduces a dynamic contrastive objective that constructs event- and time-series-aware positive and negative pairs during training. We also construct SECURE, a real-world dataset aligning cybersecurity incidents with stock-market time series and structured and LLM-derived semantic features. Experiments show that EventTime consistently outperforms state-of-the-art time-series and event-aware baselines in estimating post-event financial losses. Further analyses demonstrate more event-sensitive representations, greater robustness to incomplete metadata, and more interpretable estimates of short-term market impact following cybersecurity disclosures.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Truncate Bad, Upweight Good: BoN-Style Distillation via Rank-Based Classification
arXiv:2608.19748v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Inference-time selection methods, such as Best-of-N, improve generation by sampling a pool of candidates and selecting the top-ranked completion according to a reward model. Distillation seeks to amortize this procedure into a single policy by replacing raw rewards with in-pool ranks and learning a policy that upweights higher-ranked completions. However, existing rank-based policies typically use smooth full-support reweighting, so low-ranked completions receive less mass but remain in the target support. Although a sharper reweighting reduces lower-tail mass, it also increases reliance on brittle ranking at the top made by a single reward model. We propose TUP: a Truncate-bad, Upweight-good Policy that removes low-ranked completions from the support and reweights only the retained upper tail with a tunable sharpness. TUP admits a closed-form, prompt-independent normalization and can be trained fully offline via binary cross-entropy, using shifted-truncated win-rates as soft labels and distilled-to-reference log-likelihood ratios as logits. Theoretically, under certain assumptions, we show that for any unknown oracle reward, the best monotone rank-reweighting can be matched by a lower-tail truncation rule, providing formal support for removing the lower tail rather than merely downweighting it. Empirically, we show that TUP is competitive with strong offline alignment baselines.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Credit Without Ground Truth: Auditing Step-Level Credit Assignment in LLM Agents Against Executed Replay
arXiv:2608.19760v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Audited against causal ground truth from executed replay in a single-agent tool environment (ALFWorld), none of the step-level credit signals used to train LLM agents -- LLM-judge scores, outcome-conditioned logprob ratios, or the policy's own confidence -- identifies which steps causally matter better than chance. Existing evaluations grade these signals against annotated step *correctness*; we audit them against step *contribution* -- what re-sampling the policy's own alternatives at each decision point and rolling forward actually changes about the outcome -- and the two come apart. The ground truth itself is structured: causal contribution is sparse (30.5% of decision points where ground truth is defined carry measurable effect), and measurability is model-dependent -- the fraction of points with no policy-supported counterfactual differs by a factor of two (13.1% vs. 26.8%) between two similar-scale policies. The failure mode is identifiable: implicit credit echoes the policy's fluency (median rank correlation +0.75, replicating at +0.70 in a second family under a corrected instrument), while conditioning on the outcome adds no causal information (partial correlation -0.004, Qwen). A confidence-only router recovers pivotal steps at chance level, but cuts judge cost by 13.1% per turn (14.0% per trajectory). In a seven-arm pre-registered training experiment, no arm reliably outperforms the untrained policy, and the checkpoints' apparent instrument signature is fully explained by training dose -- sparser credit retains fewer examples, an order-of-magnitude spread in optimizer steps -- not credit content. Comparisons of credit rules must therefore match effective sample size, or they measure dose, not credit.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
MLOps/Systems • Score 85
Green BOA: Determining the environmental break-even point for ML-based data compression
arXiv:2608.19994v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We summarise the outcome of two summer internship projects based at the University of Manchester, focused on the break-even point in terms of environmental sustainability for ML-based data compression algorithms. Using the example of a ML-based lossless compression algorithm, we compare estimates for the carbon-equivalent of the infrastructure needed for ML training and inference with the carbon-equivalent savings from reduced disk storage requirements, and discuss their break-even point.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
MLOps/Systems • Score 85
ADAPT: Physics-Aware Diffusion-based World Models for Adaptive Predictive Transferable HVAC Control
arXiv:2608.19804v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Buildings account for roughly one-third of global energy consumption and CO$_2$ emissions. Optimizing indoor climate systems plays a critical role for urban climate mitigation aligned with UN Sustainable Development Goals 11 and 13. However, indoor delayed thermodynamic responses and partial observability severely hinder existing methods, which are primarily limited by implicit thermal inertia, occupancy dynamic prediction, and cumulative prediction errors, especially for out-of-distribution environments. In practice, these challenges are further exacerbated by the high cost and privacy burden of dense indoor sensing, forcing operators to collect only limited data in a single operating regime while expecting controllers to generalize reliably across unseen seasons and climate regions. To address this problem, we propose ADAPT, a physics-aware conditional diffusion indoor environmental world model for HVAC control. The model predicts a short-horizon held-action thermal baseline to capture the latent thermal inertia of the buildings. The diffusion backbone utilizes the robustness of generative models, while a learnable multi-zone heat-balance regularizer constrains generated trajectories to satisfy transferable building thermodynamics without requiring known building geometry or manually calibrated thermal parameters. A credit assignment is then design for the downstream reinforcement learning. Extensive experiments on SemibuildingSim and Sinergym demonstrate that ADAPT reduces HVAC energy consumption by 7.3\% and occupant discomfort by 30.2\% compared with state-of-the-art baselines under IID control. Under OOD control scenarios spanning unseen seasons and climate regions, ADAPT maintains robust performance with only marginal degradation relative to its IID performance, substantially outperforming existing methods in transfer robustness.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
Multimodal • Score 85
Beyond Multimodal Alignment: Certifying Physical Language through Response Substitution and Ordered Execution
arXiv:2608.19492v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: World models increasingly treat compact multimodal representations as interfaces between perception and physical interaction, yet existing probes do not establish whether different sensors carry the same executable meaning or whether that meaning survives a new action composition. We introduce an operational capability hierarchy and the Disjoint-Bridge Operator-Substitution Certificate (DBOSC), which asks whether independently trained modality compilers enter a frozen response chart interchangeably on evidence outside their training panels. On Cluster Haptic, audio and acceleration representations of the same unseen surface are 4.5x closer in response space than wrong-surface pairings, with the gap holding for all 19 held-out surfaces; unsealing withheld responses confirms that every branch predicts the physics better than the population chart. We then test ordered execution in a controlled elastoplastic system with complementary modality blind spots. At the pre-registered budget, the prerequisite refuses the stack because the frozen executor cannot advance even an exact chart coordinate through a held-out program. At a converged budget, the same rank-three chart executes those programs (oracle NMSE 0.18), fusion improves on both modalities, and 14 of 16 registered checks pass; the two failures arise because a diagonal restriction of the fused information matrix performs as well as the full one. Clearing the gate is a property of the executor, not the chart: an executor emitting whole programs instead of shared per-step dynamics is 38x worse than an entity-blind predictor on the same chart. A matching non-identifiability result explains why compression and fusion alone cannot determine an unseen composition law. These results separate attribute access, response substitution, fusion closure, and ordered execution into distinct, separately testable achievements.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
Separating Covariate Shift from Mechanism Change with Two Discriminators: CJSD, a Conditional Discrepancy with an Exact Covariate-Concept Decomposition
arXiv:2608.19885v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Streaming systems that maintain a pool of expert models must repeatedly decide whether to reuse an existing expert for arriving data, spawn a new one, or defer. We present a decision layer that makes all three outcomes statistically meaningful. Reuse and spawn are posed as one-sided sequential hypotheses on a conditional (mechanism-level) discrepancy, separated by an indifference zone; defer is exactly the state in which neither betting e-process has accumulated sufficient evidence. We prove finite-time anytime validity for the observable surrogate discrepancy of a predictable discriminator sequence, and an unconditional one-sided transfer to the population quantity in which each side's slack is the excess risk of a single discriminator; an empirically observed downward-bias regularity makes the spawn side exactly conservative. Recency without sacrificing the guarantee is obtained by a restarted e-detector: a bank of unwindowed betting supermartingales at geometrically spaced restart times (O(log t) memory), with the error budget spent over restart instances, which preserves lifetime anytime validity; spending over expert-creation order likewise controls multiplicity for unboundedly many experts. On synthetic multi-concept streams, Electricity, Covertype, and the recurrence-heavy INSECTS benchmark, the instance-accounted restarted bank achieves zero false spawns and zero false reuses after switches and matches or exceeds the retired windowed heuristic (INSECTS-reoccurring accuracy 0.675), making the deployed algorithm and the guaranteed algorithm one and the same.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
A three-dimensional typology of agency for advanced AI systems
arXiv:2608.20041v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Research on the agency of advanced artificial intelligence (AI) systems focuses on agency as a normative concept and on the agency of particularly agentic AI systems. While recent work also focuses on the different profiles of agentic systems, no framework exists to address the question of the type of agency instantiated by advanced AI systems, particularly when considering non-moral forms of agency. Based on established theoretical positions in philosophy, ethics, legal theory and sociology, we develop a typology of agency for frontier AI systems consisting of three dimensions: the nature of agency (moral or legal), its mode (individual or collective) and its locus (human or non-human). Combining these dimensions produces eight possible instantiations of agency, which we classify as conventional, contested or controversial. The typology separates legal from moral agency and thereby creates conceptual space for considering individual, legal, non-human agency without presupposing that advanced AI systems are moral agents. We argue that this distinction is increasingly relevant where instrumental goal pursuit complicates the attribution of AI actions to particular human actors.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
Learning Early-to-Final Solution Consistency for MILP Acceleration
arXiv:2608.19953v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) is a fundamental problem class in operations research and combinatorial optimization, with broad applications to industrial decision-making. Owing to their NP-hardness, however, modern solvers may struggle to find high-quality solutions for challenging MILP instances within practical time limits. Recent learning-based approaches seek to accelerate MILP solving by directly predicting high-quality solutions from static instance-level features, such as variable-constraint bipartite graphs. Yet accurate solution prediction from instance features alone is difficult, and these methods largely overlook the information revealed during the solver's search process. In this paper, we find that solutions produced at the early search stage of MILP solvers, which are computationally cheap to obtain, are often structurally close to the solutions found after full-budget search. Motivated by this observation, we propose a new solver-informed paradigm that shifts the learning target from variable assignment to early-to-final consistency: for each variable, we predict whether its early-stage assignment should persist in full-budget solutions. The predicted consistency naturally guides downstream search, for instance by fixing the assignments deemed consistent. At inference time, we further ensemble consistency predictions across multiple early-stage solutions to improve robustness. Experiments across four MILP benchmarks show our method improves prediction-guided search across diverse downstream pipelines. With Gurobi, our proposed method reduces the primal gap by 56.9% on average and closes it completely on combinatorial auction instances. Besides, we transferred the Gurobi-trained model zero-shot to SCIP without adaptation, achieving a 36.4% average gap reduction across benchmarks.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
TESTNAV: Pareto-Guided Search for Compositional Robustness Testing
arXiv:2608.19882v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Deep learning models remain vulnerable to real-world input perturbations, especially when multiple corruptions co-occur in the same input (e.g., brightness shifts and motion blur). Compositional testing reveals these interaction effects but introduces two challenges: combinatorial growth of the perturbation space as dimensions and severity levels increase, and uneven diagnostic value-many combinations yield unrealistically degraded inputs with limited practical relevance.
We present TESTNAV, 1 a Pareto-guided robustness testing framework for efficiently exploring discrete, compositional perturbation spaces when only a limited number of perturbation configurations can be evaluated. TESTNAV prioritises severe yet realistic failures by formulating robustness testing as bi-objective optimisation: maximise performance degradation while preserving input fidelity measured by modality-specific metrics (e.g., SSIM and KID for vision; chrF and BERT-F1 for language and code). It uses NSGA-II to approximate the bi-objective Pareto front. Across four benchmarks spanning vision, natural language, and code generation, TESTNAV recovers Pareto fronts up to 2.15x faster than search-based baselines, using 35.8%-89.3% of the discrete perturbation space defined by four perturbation dimensions with six levels each.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
Vision • Score 92
CVSD-Reg: Cross-Modal Visual Semantic Prior Distillation for Robust LiDAR Registration
arXiv:2608.19536v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Learning-based global point cloud registration has achieved remarkable progress, yet its reliance on geometric representations makes existing methods sensitive to variations in point density, scan pattern, viewpoint, and sensor characteristics. We propose CVSD-Reg, a robust global LiDAR registration framework that distills visual semantic priors from a vision foundation model into LiDAR representations. In Stage 1, a Point Transformer V3 student learns from a frozen DINOv2 teacher through contrastive distillation and spherical-manifold alignment, which preserves the hyperspherical geometry of the teacher embedding space. Self-supervised InfoNCE consistency and soft $\mathrm{SE}(3)$ invariance further encourage viewpoint-robust descriptors. In Stage 2, the distilled representation is adapted to registration through correspondence learning, density-aware point-dropout augmentation, and end-to-end pose optimization. With a single checkpoint, CVSD-Reg generalizes to both single-sensor and zero-shot cross-sensor scenarios without sensor-specific adaptation and remains entirely camera-free at inference. On KITTI, nuScenes, and HeLiPR, CVSD-Reg achieves strict success rate (SR@0.5\,m/$1^\circ$) of 97.7$\%$, 99.0$\%$, and 99.3$\%$, respectively, including 97.3$\%$ on sparse 16-beam Velodyne scans. It outperforms state-of-the-art geometric registration methods by up to 44.0 percentage points without requiring camera inputs or post-hoc ICP refinement.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CV
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Rethinking the Evaluation and Optimization of LLM-Based Social Simulation
arXiv:2608.19689v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: LLM-based social simulation is a promising complement to traditional methods such as surveys and behavioral experiments. A core question is how to evaluate the fidelity of LLM-simulated human behavior and optimize LLMs toward it. Prevailing practice evaluates by accuracy, checking whether the model selects the single response observed from a human, and trains the LLM to reproduce this hard label. However, human behavior is inherently subjective: the same person in the same situation may reasonably act differently, so an observed response is only one draw from an underlying response distribution, rendering accuracy-based evaluation unreliable and hard-label training misleading. To address these problems, we first introduce the subjectivity coefficient, an entropy-based quantity distinguishing objective tasks such as coding from subjective ones such as social simulation, and use it to systematically analyze how accuracy-based evaluation and hard-label training fail as subjectivity grows. Based on the subjectivity coefficient, we propose Subjectivity-Adaptive soft-Label Training (SALT): it pools observed outputs from semantically nearby inputs into soft distributional labels, with an aggregation radius adapted to the estimated subjectivity of each input; in the near-objective limit the neighborhood shrinks, so SALT naturally falls back to standard single-label training. Moreover, since existing datasets record only single observed responses and cannot support distributional evaluation, we construct SUBJSIM, a benchmark of 19,300 contexts covering 193 annotators and 100 subjective questions. Since real-world data typically provide only a single observation per input, our experiments train models from single observed outputs while evaluating them against the full response distributions, verifying feasibility in realistic settings. Results on SUBJSIM demonstrate the advantages of our method.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
MLOps/Systems • Score 85
Outcome Monitors: Recovery Affordances for Silent Tool Failures
arXiv:2608.19303v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: When a tool call times out, the agent sees the failure and can route around it. A cached error page or negative price can instead arrive in the expected format and be consumed as fact. We introduce Outcome Monitors, which detect violations of outcome contracts mined from task-disjoint traces or derived from public schemas. On a violation, the monitor preserves the result and issues a nonbinding receipt naming the violated property and public recovery tools. In frozen, prespecified evaluations with injected failures, Outcome Monitors raise ToolMaze completion from 10.9% to 28.1% across four models in two provider families and replicate in a third. In tau-bench retail, completion improves by 14.0 and 12.0 points on two tiers. In separate ToolMaze controls, removing the recovery-tool list eliminates the measured gain and restoring it recovers the effect; diagnostic detail and timing produce no detectable differences. Gains concentrate where the fault blocks completion. On a suite transcribed from a published incident taxonomy, detection outside the mined vocabulary falls to 46%, though delivery continues and completion is unchanged. Recovery tools are the active receipt content in these controls; extending detection beyond the contract vocabulary remains open.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
Exact Algebraic Computation of Learning Coefficients for Two-Dimensional Singular Models
arXiv:2608.20183v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Classical information criteria such as the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) rely on regularity assumptions that break down for singular models, leading to incorrect model selection in settings such as deep learning. The Widely Applicable Bayesian Information Criterion (WBIC) relies on local learning coefficients $\lambda$, which in the analytic case coincides with local Real Log Canonical Thresholds (RLCT) of the Kullback-Leibler divergence of the model, to capture correct marginal likelihood asymptotics. Exact computation of the learning coefficients has been limited to special cases, and only sampling-based estimation methods are generally applicable. We present the first deterministic algorithm that computes local RLCTs exactly for any two-dimensional model whose Kullback-Leibler distance is contact equivalent to a polynomial, derive a bound on its complexity, and demonstrate its effectiveness for a broad class of models, with applications including polynomial neural networks. Beyond providing ground truth to calibrate sampling-based estimators, exact computation reveals algebraic structure in learning coefficients that sampling cannot and out-speeds it in the shallow regime.
Fonte: arXiv stat.ML
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
A Causal Inference Approach for Evaluating Diagnostic Tests and AI-Enabled Medical Devices: From Effect Modification to Information-Augmented Decision-Making
arXiv:2608.19501v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Diagnostic medical tests and devices provide useful information for evaluating the potential benefits and risks of therapeutic treatments. However, unlike treatments, their impact on health outcomes is generally indirect because measuring diagnostic information typically does not itself affect patient outcomes, which complicates evaluation of their effectiveness. In this work, we develop a causal inference approach for evaluating diagnostic tests by distinguishing explanatory and pragmatic effectiveness. Explanatory effectiveness evaluates whether a diagnostic test result provides treatment-relevant information beyond baseline covariates by explaining additional treatment-effect heterogeneity, which we characterize using a variance-based treatment-effect variable importance measure. Pragmatic effectiveness evaluates whether incorporating this information into personalized treatment decisions improves expected outcomes, a question central to decision-making for patients, clinicians, and other health care stakeholders. We formalize pragmatic effectiveness as a contrast between expected outcomes under optimal personalized treatment rules defined with and without access to the diagnostic test result. We establish identification of the proposed estimand and provide Targeted Maximum Likelihood Estimation (TMLE) and cross-validated TMLE procedures for nonparametric estimation and inference. Simulation studies and a synthetic colorectal cancer application illustrate the proposed estimands and estimation performance. More broadly, this approach provides a causal inference perspective for evaluating AI-enabled devices by distinguishing their dual roles as information-enrichment and personalized decision-optimization tools, clarifying whether AI improves outcomes by expanding information for downstream decisions, improving the decision rule used to act on that information, or through both pathways.
Fonte: arXiv stat.ML
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
CLaST: Context-aware Contrastive VAE for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting
arXiv:2608.20025v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Probabilistic forecasting models are widely used for time series forecasting in domains such as energy systems, finance, medicine, and transportation. In recent years, deep generative models have shown strong results on probabilistic forecasting, yet many conventional approaches struggle to capture internal temporal dependencies, leading to latent representations with limited expressive power. To address this limitation, we propose \textit{CLaST}, a VAE framework for probabilistic multivariate time series forecasting. Unlike existing generative models, CLaST learns embeddings that preserve contextual similarity between observations through our contrastive loss function. Experiments across nine widely adopted benchmarks demonstrate that CLaST consistently surpasses strong baseline methods. In short-term forecasting tasks, our approach achieves improvements of up to $16.4\%$ in CRPS and $14.4\%$ in NMAE over the second-best method. Furthermore, in long-term prediction CLaST attains superior overall performance, exceeding the second-best method by up to $48.6\%$ and $25.1\%$ in CRPS and NMAE, respectively.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Scaffolding Minds: Optimizing Latent Visual Target Representations for Multimodal Reasoning
arXiv:2608.19669v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Latent reasoning has advanced multimodal reasoning through a two-stage training paradigm: (1) a helper image is encoded into latent tokens to teach visual chain-of-thought during a supervised fine-tuning (SFT) stage, and (2) these latent tokens are further refined with reward feedback during a reinforcement learning (RL) stage. In this paper, we identify two key limitations of this framework, one in each stage. First, the SFT stage typically relies on an off-the-shelf vision encoder to encode the helper image, yielding suboptimal latent representations that may not be well aligned with the downstream reasoning task. Second, existing RL methods treat the latent component only through deterministic regularization, which constrains policy drift but does not create alternative latent trajectories for exploration. To address these limitations, we propose Scaffolding Minds. Our approach learns a dedicated scaffolding encoder that provides an optimized target in latent space, and learns both the mean and variance of the RL sampler. We further show that these two improvements are complementary, together yielding substantial gains over strong baselines. Empirically, our method improves over the strongest latent-reasoning baseline by +9.5% on FrozenLake spatial planning, with the gain widening to +19% at 32x32 grid map, and by +5.2% on average across nine visual-centric reasoning benchmarks.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CV
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Reliable Neural Collapse Approximation for Open-World Test-Time Adaptation
arXiv:2608.19890v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) methods aim to bridge the domain gap between the source and target domains. However, traditional TTA methods become ineffective when the label distribution shift occurs, a challenge commonly referred to as an open-world scenario. In this paper, we introduce a new method named Reliable Neural Collapse approximation (ReNC) for Open-World Test-Time Adaptation (OWTTA). Specifically, we leverage neural collapse as a structural prior for reliable target-domain adaptation. Guided by this prior, we justify that the pre-trained classifier weights can serve as the prototypes of the source domain. By measuring the similarity between samples and prototypes, we filter out the Out-Of-Distribution~(OOD) samples for reliable updates. Furthermore, we propose a neural collapse approximation mechanism to refine these prototypes, ensuring they can gradually adapt to the target domain while maintaining the neural collapse structure. Extensive experiments on several open-world benchmarks demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method. Our empirical analysis suggests that ReNC better preserves NC-related properties in the target domain, providing useful evidence for explaining reliable OWTTA and offering new insights for model design. Code is available at https://github.com/JiaqiLin-AI/ReNC.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
Evidence Before Expansion: Reuse, Spawn, or Defer in Lifelong Expert Pools
arXiv:2608.19888v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Streaming systems that maintain a pool of expert models must repeatedly decide whether to reuse an existing expert for arriving data, spawn a new one, or defer. We present a decision layer that makes all three outcomes statistically meaningful. Reuse and spawn are posed as one-sided sequential hypotheses on a conditional (mechanism-level) discrepancy, separated by an indifference zone; defer is exactly the state in which neither betting e-process has accumulated sufficient evidence. We prove finite-time anytime validity for the observable surrogate discrepancy of a predictable discriminator sequence, and an unconditional one-sided transfer to the population quantity in which each side's slack is the excess risk of a single discriminator; an empirically observed downward-bias regularity makes the spawn side exactly conservative. Recency without sacrificing the guarantee is obtained by a restarted e-detector: a bank of unwindowed betting supermartingales at geometrically spaced restart times (O(log t) memory), with the error budget spent over restart instances, which preserves lifetime anytime validity; spending over expert-creation order likewise controls multiplicity for unboundedly many experts. On synthetic multi-concept streams, Electricity, Covertype, and the recurrence-heavy INSECTS benchmark, the instance-accounted restarted bank achieves zero false spawns and zero false reuses after switches and matches or exceeds the retired windowed heuristic (INSECTS-reoccurring accuracy 0.675), making the deployed algorithm and the guaranteed algorithm one and the same.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Answer-Level Trust Selection for Physical Vision-Language Reasoning
arXiv:2608.19807v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Vision-language models (VLMs) can estimate physical quantities such as duration, speed, and acceleration from visual observations, but existing benchmarks primarily assess overall model performance against annotated ground truth. In deployment, a key question is whether an individual prediction can be trusted when its ground truth is unavailable. Self-consistency alone may fail to capture important failure modes: a VLM may produce stable-but-wrong estimates or rely on textual priors rather than visual evidence. We formulate answer-level selective prediction for quantitative physical reasoning and propose Answer-Level Trust Selection (ATS), a post-hoc, model-agnostic framework for accepting or rejecting individual VLM predictions. ATS requires no fine-tuning, auxiliary verifier, or access to the model's internal logits. Instead, it aggregates eight interpretable behavioral diagnostic scores derived from repeated queries and controlled interventions into a unified trust score. We evaluate ATS in depth on Qwen2.5-VL-7B and across 20 VLM backbones, examining selective performance, diagnostic behavior, and targeted failure modes. Our results show that intervention-based diagnostics help identify stable-but-wrong and prior-tracking predictions that repeated agreement alone may miss. However, improved failure-case rejection can come at the cost of lower retention of correct predictions. ATS therefore complements model-level capability evaluation with answer-level reliability assessment for quantitative VLM predictions. Code will be released upon publication.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
Quantum Gaussian processes for prediction of channel observations
arXiv:2608.19306v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Given a set of input states, we consider the task of predicting the expectation value of a Pauli observable at the output of an unknown quantum evolution, using only a limited number of measurements. Recently, quantum Gaussian process (QGP) regression was introduced for this task across various classes of unitary evolution. Here, we extend the QGP framework beyond unitary dynamics. In particular, we prove convergence of the channel's outputs to a QGP and derive the associated closed-form kernel under a uniform (Lebesgue measure) prior over quantum channels. The kernel's dimensional factor, however, dictates the required observation precision. While manageable when the channel and observable are restricted to small subsystems, exponential suppression precludes learning when the subsystem grows extensively with the system size. Since the Lebesgue prior is overly broad for many applications, we propose an empirical Bayes heuristic that replaces the dimensional factor with a learnable scale parameter while retaining the kernel's state-overlap correlation structure. In numerical simulations of up to 64 qubits, channel QGP regression with the Lebesgue kernel exhibits a strong inductive bias for local channels, enabling faithful extrapolation. For global 64-qubit channels, the rescaled kernel restores learnability, with predictions improving systematically with the shot budget. Results from a noisy quantum computer further demonstrate the robustness of QGP regression under experimental conditions. Beyond regression, we validate QGPs as Bayesian-optimization surrogates for state preparation under noisy XXZ dynamics.
Fonte: arXiv stat.ML
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
Manifold Drift in Flow Preference Optimization: A Root Cause of Reward Hacking
arXiv:2608.20011v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Preference optimization is a standard alignment method for generative models, yet extending it to continuous-time dynamics remains non-trivial. In flow matching, reward-driven updates modify transport trajectories without an inherent constraint to the pretrained data manifold and can move terminal samples off the pretrained support. We formalize this failure mode as manifold drift. Theoretically, we show that optimal flow matching recovers the terminal data distribution, whereas a preference update leaves the pretrained manifold whenever its induced terminal displacement has a nonzero normal component. As a remedy, we propose ThermoDPO, a temperature-controlled objective that anchors pairwise preference optimization on preferred samples. Across temperature regimes, this objective connects rejection sampling fine-tuning and FlowDPO and controls a pointwise reconstruction-based surrogate for manifold distance. To counteract diminished signals at low temperatures, we further introduce a weighted variant, ThermoDPO-weighted. On the main toy benchmark, ThermoDPO-weighted attains a StrictScore of 0.899, compared with 0.629 for FlowDPO and 0.857 for FlowDPO+RFT. On SD3.5-M at CFG = 4.5, it improves OCR by 47.5% and the average of four metrics by 16.0%.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
MLOps/Systems • Score 85
SAGE-XGBoost: Spatially Augmented Graph Embeddings--Machine Learning Framework for Natural Hazards Susceptibility Mapping under Data Scarcity
arXiv:2608.19672v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Natural hazard susceptibility mapping is often constrained by limited labeled data, reducing the generalizability of conventional machine learning and limiting the applicability of complex deep learning models. This study proposes SAGE (Spatially Augmented Graph Embeddings), a structurally informed feature-engineering framework that combines controlled noise-based data augmentation with neighborhood-based graph embeddings to improve prediction under data-scarce conditions. A K-nearest neighbor graph is constructed to derive local spatial statistics, which are reduced using principal component analysis and integrated with environmental covariates and spatial coordinates. The resulting features are used with XGBoost to develop the SAGE-XGBoost model. The framework was evaluated for landslide and wildfire susceptibility mapping. SAGE-XGBoost consistently outperformed conventional and spatially explicit machine learning models. Compared with Spatial XGBoost, it achieved an absolute improvement of above 33 percentage points across the two case studies. The model reached AUC values of approximately 0.97 for landslide susceptibility and 0.95 for wildfire susceptibility. Feature importance analysis confirmed the contribution of graph embeddings to prediction, while their integration improved spatial coherence and reduced local noise amplification. Overall, SAGE-XGBoost provides an efficient and transferable alternative to deep representation learning for environmental hazard assessment and other geospatial prediction tasks under limited supervision.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
Vision • Score 85
DIFFCZSL: Compositional Zero-Shot Learning Regularized by Diffusion Representations
arXiv:2608.19871v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Compositional Zero-Shot Learning (CZSL) aims to recognize unseen attribute-object compositions by leveraging knowledge of primitive concepts learned from seen compositions. Although recent works achieve impressive performance in CZSL by leveraging large vision-language models, they primarily rely on discriminative representations that may not explicitly preserve the structured relationships between primitive concepts and their compositions. Motivated by the recent success of diffusion-based classifiers and their competitive performance relative to discriminative models, we investigate whether intermediate diffusion representations can provide complementary cues for CZSL. To this end, we propose DIFFCZSL, a diffusion-augmented framework that injects generative priors from pre-trained diffusion models into CLIP-based CZSL pipelines. We extract intermediate diffusion representations and project them into the CLIP embedding space to provide auxiliary supervision on both image and text modalities. Through contrastive alignment between CLIP embeddings and diffusion features during training, our method encourages the embedding geometry toward richer composition-aware semantics, while introducing no additional cost at inference time. Extensive experiments on three public CZSL benchmarks demonstrate consistent improvements over strong CLIP-based baselines under both closed-world and open-world settings. Our results highlight the complementary strengths of generative diffusion representations and discriminative vision-language models for compositional generalization.
Fonte: arXiv cs.CV
RL • Score 85
Towards Formalizing Reinforcement Learning Theory: A Robbins-Siegmund Approach
arXiv:2511.03618v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: In this paper, we formalize the almost sure convergence of $Q$-learning and linear temporal difference (TD) learning with Markovian samples using the Lean 4 theorem prover based on the Mathlib library. $Q$-learning and linear TD are among the earliest and most influential reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms. The investigation of their convergence properties is not only a major research topic during the early development of the RL field but also receives significant attention nowadays. This paper formally verifies their almost sure convergence in a unified framework based on the Robbins-Siegmund theorem. The framework developed in this work can potentially be extended to convergence rates and other modes of convergence. This work thus makes an important step towards fully formalizing convergent RL results. The code is available at https://github.com/ShangtongZhang/rl-theory-in-lean.
Fonte: arXiv stat.ML
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
Uncovering the Limits of Proof Sharing for Neural Networks
arXiv:2608.19351v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Robustness verification of neural networks is increasingly important, due to their use in many critical domains. In certain scenarios, proof sharing has been shown to accelerate incomplete verification techniques by reusing intermediate-layer abstract states, or templates, across queries. However, questions remain as to the robustness of template-based acceleration across varying network architectures, properties, datasets, and training methods. In this work, we perform a systematic study of the effectiveness of template-based acceleration and its limits. Our study shows that template subsumption rates can vary widely across scenarios. We present a novel metric of jointly stable neurons to explain this variation, showing that in some cases template-based techniques are very unlikely to provide any speedup. Then, we present FastCert, a novel technique for automatically distributing templates across neural network layers to increase performance impact, eschewing templates entirely if they are unlikely to produce a speedup. Across a large set of covering-design based $L_0$-verification tasks, FastCert achieved an average speedup of 1.13x over an extant template-based reuse technique.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
RL • Score 85
On the convergence of optimistic policy iteration for stochastic shortest path problem
arXiv:1808.08763v3 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: In this paper, we prove some convergence results of a special case of optimistic policy iteration algorithm for stochastic shortest path problem. We consider both Monte Carlo and $TD(\lambda)$ methods for the policy evaluation step under the condition that the termination state will eventually be reached almost surely.
Fonte: arXiv stat.ML
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Spike-based Belief Propagation in Nonlinear Dynamical Systems
arXiv:2608.19907v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: This paper presents a Bayesian control framework that integrates spike-based dynamics with probabilistic inference for adaptive control. Bayesian inference is widely regarded as a core computational principle of brain function, providing a normative framework for perception, decision-making, and learning under uncertainty. By combining a biologically inspired spiking neural model with Bayesian inference principles, we propose a brain-like control algorithm capable of operating in uncertain environments. We use the mountain car parking problem as a benchmark with non-linear dynamics. Our results demonstrate that the proposed controller can successfully update states in real time and generate goal-directed action plans through spike-driven dynamics. The results highlight the proposed model's potential as a bridge between computational neuroscience and probabilistic control theory.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Complementary, Not Cumulative: Interaction Effects in Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Navier-Stokes Vortex Shedding
arXiv:2608.19632v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) embed governing partial differential equations directly into the training loss, offering a promising alternative to costly CFD solvers for unsteady flows. Yet the growing list of techniques proposed to improve PINN training is typically validated one at a time, leaving open whether these techniques actually compose. We study this question in depth on the DFG/Schafer-Turek unsteady cylinder wake benchmark. In isolation, nearly every technique performs no better than an untreated baseline. However, combining periodic (SIREN) activations with causal weighting unlocks a previously inaccessible regime, reconstructing velocity and pressure fields to within 4.1% average relative L2 error against an OpenFOAM reference solution. Adding further techniques instead causes catastrophic performance degradation, demonstrating that individually effective PINN interventions can interact nonlinearly and that more elaborate training recipes are not necessarily better.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
Causal Reasoning with Bipartite Graphical Causal Models
arXiv:2608.19831v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Causal Bayesian networks (CBNs) and structural causal models (SCMs) are the dominant frameworks for graphical causal reasoning, but they cannot adequately represent all real-world causal systems. In particular, systems at equilibrium---where feedback mechanisms create cyclic causal dependencies---can exhibit causal semantics that are fundamentally incompatible with these frameworks: different interventions that enforce the same variable value may have different effects, rendering the standard ``perfect intervention'' do($X = x$) ambiguous. We propose bipartite graphical causal models (BGCMs), in which the structure of a system of equations is encoded by a bipartite graph with variable and equation nodes. In this framework, a hard intervention do($f_j : X_v = \xi_v$) specifies which equation is replaced, which variable is targeted, and at what value---resolving the ambiguity of the standard notion. We demonstrate, through a detailed case study of a physical system, that this representation naturally corresponds to distinct real-world interventions. We formulate a Markov property in terms of a new graphical separation criterion (B-separation) that exploits the functional determinism inherent in the equations, and we extend it to settings with non-random inputs. We show how this gives rise to a do-calculus for reasoning about domain invariances. BGCMs strictly generalize CBNs and SCMs while retaining the ability to perform graphical causal reasoning.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Beyond Memory Majority: Latent-Source Reasoning for Multi-Agent Memory Arbitration
arXiv:2608.19701v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Long-term multi-agent systems continuously accumulate the memories produced by different agents. Existing memory methods typically treat retrieved memories as independent evidence and combine them through voting or weighting. However, this independence assumption often fails in multi-agent settings: memories written by different agents may inherit the same upstream source or shared bias, causing correlated evidence to be repeatedly counted and creating a false majority. We term this failure mode \textit{Memory Correlation Bias}. To address the issue, we propose the \textbf{C}orrelation-\textbf{A}ware \textbf{M}emory \textbf{A}rbitration (CAMA) framework that jointly decouples retrieved memories and recovers missing independent evidence. We model the retrieved memories as query-conditioned evidence groups and combine neural dependency inference with provenance-based symbolic priors to estimate the effective number of independent evidence sources, thereby preventing correlated memories from forming a false majority. Since critical independent evidence may be absent from the initial retrieval set, \textsc{CAMA} further learns a sequential recovery policy that actively retrieves alternative evidence or traces upstream sources before making the final decision, aiming to recover sufficient independent evidence for reliable arbitration while minimizing retrieval cost. Experiments on multiple benchmarks demonstrate the superiority of our method over the state-of-the-art baseline methods, suppressing false majorities induced by correlated memories.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
RL • Score 85
Learning Hierarchical Skill Policies with Offline Quality-Diversity Reinforcement Learning
arXiv:2608.19684v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Recent studies investigate how to leverage pre-collected datasets to improve the policy performance and sample efficiency of RL. One promising approach to achieve this goal is to employ a two-stage strategy: In the first stage, diverse skills are extracted as a low-level policy from a given dataset, and a high-level policy is trained to solve a specific task in the second stage. Typically, extraction of the low-level policy is performed based on unsupervised learning such as trajectory VAE. However, a limitation of this approach is that the quality of the low-level policy highly depends on the quality of the dataset. To address this issue, we introduce QDOS (Quality-Diversity Offline Skill learning), a unified pipeline for robust offline-to-online learning. Our approach incorporates an Advantage-Weighted Quality-Diversity pretraining objective, which weights the skill extraction and diversity objectives by the estimated advantage of each trajectory segment. This approach allows the model to extract diverse and high-value skills. By providing robust and task-relevant skill representations, QDOS significantly improves the quality of the embedded skill space used by the low-level policy. We further integrate this with a dual dataset reuse strategy, where offline data is used both for skill pretraining and for populating the online replay buffer via pseudo-labeling. Experiments demonstrate that QDOS significantly outperforms strong baselines in structured manipulation tasks and unstructured locomotion tasks, confirming its ability to accelerate exploration and improve final returns in challenging sparse-reward domains.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Active Inference as Context Acquisition for AI Agents
arXiv:2608.19202v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Interactive AI agents must acquire the right context as efficiently as possible. When a user omits a constraint, preference, file, or task variable, an agent can proceed with a default assumption or spend tokens on a clarifying question, retrieval call, tool call, or prompt trial. We formulate this tradeoff as active inference for context acquisition. An inner inference step updates beliefs over a latent task state, and an outer decision selects the next context action, task action, or stop action to minimize expected free energy under cost. In deterministic settings, the epistemic term reduces to expected information gain, optionally normalized by token cost. We instantiate the framework in Optimal Question Asking (OQA), with exact posteriors and a dynamic programming oracle, and benchmark frontier language models on binary and multiway categorical tasks from 25 to 300 candidates. We also study clarification before generation and automated prompt optimization under token budgets. The formulation is model-agnostic and views active inference as a design principle for the context-acquisition layer of AI agents.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
RecSys • Score 85
RecPFN: Prior-Fitted Networks for In-Context-Based Recommendations
arXiv:2608.19735v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We introduce RecPFN, a prior-fitted network that brings in-context learning to sequential recommendation. RecPFN is pretrained entirely on synthetic clickstream environments sampled from a broad structural causal prior, enabling it to amortize Bayesian-style inference from a small support set. At inference, a lightweight decoder-only transformer conditions on a handful of domain sequences and produces next-item predictions for queries in a single forward pass, without any weight updates. Across eight public benchmarks, RecPFN achives state-of-the-art zero-shot performance while remaining strongly competitive with supervised methods in low-compute and low-data regimes. It is deployment-efficient and robust to domain shift, outperforming strong zero-shot baselines that rely on large real-interaction corpora. RecPFN provides a practical path toward generalizable, data-efficient recommenders and opens avenues for richer priors, longer-context ICL, and multimodal extensions. Code for training and evaluation is publicly available at https://github.com/SAP-samples/tabular-ai-recpfn/.
Fonte: arXiv cs.LG
NLP/LLMs • Score 85
Beyond Imitation: Filtering On-Policy Distillation by Reasoning Progress
arXiv:2608.19408v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: On-policy distillation (OPD) has emerged as an effective framework for post-training language models by pairing student-generated trajectories with dense token-level supervision from a teacher. However, OPD implicitly assumes that teacher-derived rewards are an appropriate proxy for reasoning progress, and therefore treats all teacher feedback equally during policy optimization. While in practice, this assumption does not always hold. We observe that teacher-derived rewards often conflict with genuine reasoning progress, as reasoning steps with clear reasoning advancement may still receive lower distillation rewards, simply due to deviation from teacher's outputs. To address this mismatch, we propose Reasoning-Progress-Aware Reward Filtering for On-Policy Distillation (R2-OPD), which constructs two within-trajectory rankings of reasoning spans, one from teacher-derived rewards and the other from independently estimated progress reward. Distillation rewards are selectively suppressed whenever the two rankings disagree, reducing supervision that conflicts with reasoning progress while preserving effective teacher guidance. Our approach shows consistent improvement over standard OPD especially regarding reasoning performances.
Fonte: arXiv cs.AI
Theory/Optimization • Score 85
Distributional Extrapolation for Interactions
arXiv:2608.19849v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Predicting combinatorial effects from limited-range observations is a fundamental challenge in many scientific domains, including drug discovery and hyperparameter optimization. We study combinatorial extrapolation, where training data consists of axis-aligned samples with only one active covariate, while test-time inputs involve multiple simultaneously active covariates. We introduce DExtrI, a method for extrapolating interaction effects beyond the support of the training data. We provide theoretical guarantees characterizing when such extrapolation is possible. Empirical results on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that DExtrI successfully generalizes to unseen combinations of covariates. Our approach enables applications such as predicting previously untested drug combinations and improving the efficiency of hyperparameter optimization.
Fonte: arXiv stat.ML